Sweden details

Sweden

Statistics:
  • Games: 80
  • Expected results: 35 (44.87%)
  • Unexpected results: 43 (55.13%)
  • Unknown games: 2
  • Record: 28 Won, 31 Lost, 19 Drawn, 2 Unknown
  • Last five games: LWLWW
  • Expected wins: 9 (11.54%)
  • Expected losses: 26 (33.33%)
  • Unexpected wins: 19 (24.36%)
  • Unexpected losses: 5 (6.41%)
  • Unexpected draws: 19 (24.36%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 66
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -41
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 19
  • Total: 44

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 30-Jun-2026 17:00 2 Top 32
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 25-Jun-2026 18:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 73.52%
Pregame ELO: 1941
Prob to win: 20.37%
Pregame ELO: 1718
AT&T Stadium, Arlington
Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 20-Jun-2026 12:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 57.35%
Game ELO: 1942
-> 2069 (+127)
5 - 1
Prob to win: 32.81%
Game ELO: 1845
-> 1718 (-127)
Sweden loss: expected
NRG Stadium, Houston
Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 14-Jun-2026 20:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 55.51%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1845 (+133)
5 - 1
Prob to win: 34.23%
Game ELO: 1628
-> 1495 (-133)
Sweden win: expected
Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
Euro 2020 29-Jun-2021 21:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 35.73%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1859 (+147)
1 - 2 (aet)
Prob to win: 64.27%
Game ELO: 1814
-> 1822 (+8)
Sweden loss: expected
Hampden Park, Glasgow
Euro 2020 23-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 38.08%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1934 (+222)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 50.49%
Game ELO: 1761
-> 1730 (-31)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Euro 2020 18-Jun-2021 15:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 42.06%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1903 (+191)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 45.33%
Game ELO: 1725
-> 1695 (-30)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Euro 2020 14-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 81.92%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2009 (-148)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 13.91%
Game ELO: 1849
-> 1873 (+24)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
La Cartuja, Seville
Russia 2018 7-Jul-2018 18:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 24.55%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1899 (+187)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 75.45%
Game ELO: 1907
-> 2000 (+93)
Sweden loss: expected
Cosmos Arena, Samara
Russia 2018 3-Jul-2018 17:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 22.79%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1992 (+280)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 77.21%
Game ELO: 1924
-> 1877 (-47)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Russia 2018 27-Jun-2018 15:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 53.37%
Game ELO: 1875
-> 1809 (-66)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 35.87%
Game ELO: 1806
-> 1945 (+139)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Central Stadium, Yekaterinburg
Russia 2018 23-Jun-2018 16:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 57.49%
Game ELO: 1932
-> 2026 (+94)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 32.70%
Game ELO: 1834
-> 1806 (-28)
Sweden loss: expected
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Russia 2018 18-Jun-2018 13:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 43.26%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1834 (+122)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 43.76%
Game ELO: 1714
-> 1675 (-39)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod
Euro 2016 22-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 22.05%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1712 (+0)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 71.34%
Game ELO: 1916
-> 1943 (+27)
Sweden loss: expected
Stade de Nice, Nice
Euro 2016 17-Jun-2016 15:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 70.51%
Game ELO: 1960
-> 1984 (+24)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 22.69%
Game ELO: 1763
-> 1739 (-24)
Sweden loss: expected
Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
Euro 2016 13-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 42.82%
Game ELO: 1758
-> 1759 (+1)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 44.33%
Game ELO: 1764
-> 1763 (-1)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Stade de France, Saint-Denis
Euro 2012 19-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 96.58%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1018 (-694)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 2.63%
Game ELO: 1086
-> 975 (-111)
Sweden win: expected
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2012 15-Jun-2012 22:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 97.89%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 907 (-805)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 1.62%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1043 (+43)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2012 11-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1050 (+1050)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0
-> 950 (+950)
Sweden loss: expected
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2008 18-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 35.21%
Game ELO: 954
-> 1045 (+91)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 54.22%
Game ELO: 1029
-> 938 (-91)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Tivoli-Neu, Innsbruck
Euro 2008 14-Jun-2008 18:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 96.31%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1029 (-683)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 2.84%
Game ELO: 1100
-> 1146 (+46)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Tivoli-Neu, Innsbruck
Euro 2008 10-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0
-> 925 (+925)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1075 (+1075)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Stadion Wals-Siezenheim, Salzburg
Germany 2006 24-Jun-2006 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 56.44%
Game ELO: 1932
-> 2078 (+146)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 43.56%
Game ELO: 1887
-> 1842 (-45)
Sweden loss: expected
Munich Lars Lagerbäck
Germany 2006 20-Jun-2006 1 Group B
Prob to win: 14.44%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1887 (+175)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 81.22%
Game ELO: 2012
-> 1992 (-20)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Lars Lagerbäck
Germany 2006 15-Jun-2006 1 Group B
Prob to win: 38.86%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1867 (+155)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 49.49%
Game ELO: 1754
-> 1714 (-40)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Lars Lagerbäck
Germany 2006 10-Jun-2006 1 Group B
Prob to win: 14.85%
Game ELO: 1567
-> 1601 (+34)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 80.69%
Game ELO: 1861
-> 1827 (-34)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Lars Lagerbäck
Euro 2004 26-Jun-2004 19:45 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 99.99%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1075 (-637)
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Prob to win: 0.01%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1118 (+1118)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Estádio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Euro 2004 22-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 31.20%
Game ELO: 1040
-> 1056 (+16)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 59.44%
Game ELO: 1152
-> 1136 (-16)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Bessa, Porto
Euro 2004 18-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 24.76%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1023 (+23)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 67.81%
Game ELO: 1175
-> 1152 (-23)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Dragão, Porto
Euro 2004 14-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 99.99%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1175 (-537)
5 - 0
Prob to win: 0.01%
Game ELO: 0
-> 825 (+825)
Sweden win: expected
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Korea/ Japan 2002 16-Jun-2002 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 36.26%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1850 (+138)
1 - 2 (aet)
Prob to win: 63.74%
Game ELO: 1810
-> 1875 (+65)
Sweden loss: expected
Oita Lars Lagerbäck and Tommy Söderberg
Korea/ Japan 2002 12-Jun-2002 1 Group F
Prob to win: 17.50%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1915 (+203)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 77.26%
Game ELO: 1970
-> 1961 (-9)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Miyagi Stadium, Miyagi Lars Lagerbäck and Tommy Söderberg
Korea/ Japan 2002 7-Jun-2002 1 Group F
Prob to win: 39.30%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1906 (+194)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 48.91%
Game ELO: 1750
-> 1717 (-33)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Kobe Wing Stadium, Kobe Lars Lagerbäck and Tommy Söderberg
Korea/ Japan 2002 2-Jun-2002 1 Group F
Prob to win: 65.90%
Game ELO: 2024
-> 1916 (-108)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 26.23%
Game ELO: 1864
-> 1873 (+9)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Saitama Stadium, Saitama Lars Lagerbäck and Tommy Söderberg
Euro 2000 19-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 67.81%
Game ELO: 1125
-> 1152 (+27)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 24.76%
Game ELO: 950
-> 923 (-27)
Sweden loss: expected
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Euro 2000 15-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 98.41%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 950 (-762)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 1.22%
Game ELO: 950
-> 950 (+0)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Euro 2000 10-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1894
-> 1050 (-844)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 950 (+950)
Sweden loss: expected
King Baudouin Stadium, Brussels
USA 1994 16-Jul-1994 2 3rd Place
Prob to win: 24.45%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 2080 (+368)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 75.55%
Game ELO: 1908
-> 1729 (-179)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Pasadena Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 13-Jul-1994 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 10.25%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1901 (+189)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 89.75%
Game ELO: 2089
-> 2117 (+28)
Sweden loss: expected
Pasadena Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 10-Jul-1994 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 37.46%
Game ELO: 1903
-> 1966 (+63)
2 - 2 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Prob to win: 62.54%
Game ELO: 1992
-> 1929 (-63)
Sweden win: expected
Stanford Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 3-Jul-1994 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 10.14%
Game ELO: 1576
-> 1722 (+146)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 89.86%
Game ELO: 1955
-> 1992 (+37)
Sweden win: expected
Dallas Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 28-Jun-1994 1 Group B
Prob to win: 50.78%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 2032 (+41)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 37.86%
Game ELO: 1940
-> 1955 (+15)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Pontiac Silverdome, Pontiac Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 24-Jun-1994 1 Group B
Prob to win: 32.59%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1940 (+228)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 57.63%
Game ELO: 1811
-> 1750 (-61)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Pontiac Silverdome, Pontiac Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 19-Jun-1994 1 Group B
Prob to win: 20.45%
Game ELO: 1685
-> 1713 (+28)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 73.41%
Game ELO: 1907
-> 1879 (-28)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Rose Bowl, Pasadena Tommy Svensson
Euro 1992 21-Jun-1992 20:15 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 99.99%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1028 (-684)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 0.01%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1049 (+1049)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Euro 1992 17-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group A
Prob to win: 97.89%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1093 (-619)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 1.62%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 957 (-43)
Sweden win: expected
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Euro 1992 14-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group A
Prob to win: 97.89%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1050 (-662)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 1.62%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 950 (-50)
Sweden win: expected
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Euro 1992 10-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group A
Prob to win: 99.99%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1000 (-712)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 0.01%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1000 (+1000)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Italy 1990 20-Jun-1990 1 Group C
Prob to win: 49.77%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1757 (+45)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 38.64%
Game ELO: 1668
-> 1740 (+72)
Sweden loss: expected
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa Olle Nordin
Italy 1990 16-Jun-1990 1 Group C
Prob to win: 49.34%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1829 (+117)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 38.97%
Game ELO: 1671
-> 1751 (+80)
Sweden loss: expected
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa Olle Nordin
Italy 1990 10-Jun-1990 1 Group C
Prob to win: 48.77%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 2035 (+44)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 39.41%
Game ELO: 1954
-> 1909 (-45)
Sweden loss: expected
Stadio Delle Alpi, Turin Olle Nordin
Argentina 1978 11-Jun-1978 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 86.48%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1948 (-209)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 10.40%
Game ELO: 1789
-> 1756 (-33)
Sweden loss: expected
Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires Georg Ericson
Argentina 1978 7-Jun-1978 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 44.19%
Game ELO: 1830
-> 1960 (+130)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 42.93%
Game ELO: 1825
-> 1789 (-36)
Sweden loss: expected
Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires Georg Ericson
Argentina 1978 3-Jun-1978 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 70.87%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 2044 (+53)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 22.41%
Game ELO: 1791
-> 1825 (+34)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio José Maria Minella, Mar del Plata Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 3-Jul-1974 2 Group B
Prob to win: 21.87%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1927 (+215)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 71.57%
Game ELO: 1918
-> 1861 (-57)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group B
Prob to win: 73.30%
Game ELO: 2124
-> 2157 (+33)
4 - 2
Prob to win: 20.54%
Game ELO: 1903
-> 1870 (-33)
Sweden loss: expected
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group B
Prob to win: 10.66%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1903 (+191)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 86.14%
Game ELO: 2075
-> 2106 (+31)
Sweden loss: expected
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 23-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 43.04%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1934 (+222)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 44.04%
Game ELO: 1716
-> 1659 (-57)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 19-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 54.08%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1893 (-55)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 35.32%
Game ELO: 1874
-> 1877 (+3)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 15-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 31.73%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1874 (+162)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 58.75%
Game ELO: 1819
-> 1828 (+9)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Georg Ericson
Mexico 1970 10-Jun-1970 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 22.78%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1856 (+144)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 70.39%
Game ELO: 1908
-> 1842 (-66)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla Orvar Bergmark
Mexico 1970 7-Jun-1970 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 24.00%
Game ELO: 1631
-> 1655 (+24)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 68.81%
Game ELO: 1814
-> 1790 (-24)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Luis Dosal, Toluca Orvar Bergmark
Mexico 1970 3-Jun-1970 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 66.41%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 2034 (+28)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 25.84%
Game ELO: 1842
-> 1814 (-28)
Sweden loss: expected
Estadio Luis Dosal, Toluca Orvar Bergmark
Sweden 1958 29-Jun-1958 2 Final
Prob to win: 5.44%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 2022 (+310)
2 - 5
Prob to win: 94.56%
Game ELO: 2208
-> 2275 (+67)
Sweden loss: expected
Solna  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 24-Jun-1958 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 48.13%
Game ELO: 2004
-> 1932 (-72)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 51.87%
Game ELO: 2017
-> 2089 (+72)
Sweden win: expected
Gothenburg  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 19-Jun-1958 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 19.17%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 2017 (+305)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 80.83%
Game ELO: 1962
-> 1881 (-81)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Solna  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 40.18%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1936 (+224)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 47.76%
Game ELO: 1742
-> 1770 (+28)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 12-Jun-1958 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 12.77%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1964 (+252)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 83.40%
Game ELO: 2038
-> 1968 (-70)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 8-Jun-1958 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 36.20%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1894 (+182)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 52.94%
Game ELO: 1778
-> 1684 (-94)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 16-Jul-1950 2 Group A
Prob to win: 23.24%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1906 (+194)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 69.79%
Game ELO: 1903
-> 1809 (-94)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 13-Jul-1950 2 Group A
Prob to win: 46.76%
Game ELO: 1892
-> 1874 (-18)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 40.96%
Game ELO: 1869
-> 1812 (-57)
Sweden loss: expected
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 9-Jul-1950 2 Group A
Prob to win: 42.39%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 2221 (+230)
7 - 1
Prob to win: 44.90%
Game ELO: 2001
-> 1869 (-132)
Sweden loss: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 29-Jun-1950 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 25.74%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 2001 (+289)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 66.54%
Game ELO: 1877
-> 1897 (+20)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Estádio Durival Britto, Curitiba  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 25-Jun-1950 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 17.81%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 2021 (+309)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 76.85%
Game ELO: 1966
-> 1917 (-49)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo  George Raynor
France 1938 19-Jun-1938 1 3rd Place
Prob to win: 83.21%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 1963 (-28)
4 - 2
Prob to win: 16.79%
Game ELO: 1713
-> 1679 (-34)
Sweden loss: expected
Bordeaux  József Nagy
France 1938 16-Jun-1938 1 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 74.58%
Game ELO: 1989
-> 2078 (+89)
5 - 1
Prob to win: 25.42%
Game ELO: 1802
-> 1713 (-89)
Sweden loss: expected
Paris  József Nagy
France 1938 12-Jun-1938 1 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 65.71%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1802 (+90)
8 - 0
Prob to win: 34.29%
Game ELO: 1599
-> 1451 (-148)
Sweden win: expected
Antibes  József Nagy
France 1938 5-Jun-1938 1 Top 16
Prob to win: 98.37%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1654 (-58)
0 -
Prob to win: 1.63%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 998 (-2)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Lyon  József Nagy
Italy 1934 31-May-1934 1 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 65.84%
Game ELO: 1932
-> 1884 (-48)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 34.16%
Game ELO: 1818
-> 1771 (-47)
Sweden loss: expected
Milan  József Nagy
Italy 1934 27-May-1934 1 Top 16
Prob to win: 11.59%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1818 (+106)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 88.41%
Game ELO: 2065
-> 1978 (-87)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Bologna  József Nagy