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France details
France
Statistics:
- Games: 123
- Expected results: 78 (64.46%)
- Unexpected results: 43 (35.54%)
- Unknown games: 2
- Record: 68 Won, 34 Lost, 19 Drawn, 2 Unknown
- Last five games: WWLWW
- Expected wins: 59 (48.76%)
- Expected losses: 19 (15.70%)
- Unexpected wins: 9 (7.44%)
- Unexpected losses: 15 (12.40%)
- Unexpected draws: 19 (15.70%)
- Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 86
- Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -64
- Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 19
- Total: 41
| Tournament | Game Time | Round | Group Name | Score | Odds Analysis | Location | Coach | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 | 30-Jun-2026 17:00 | 2 | Top 32 |
|
|
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford | |||
| Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 | 26-Jun-2026 15:00 | 1 | Group I |
Prob to win: 29.19%
Pregame ELO: 1977 |
Prob to win: 62.05%
Pregame ELO: 2108 |
|
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough | ||
| Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 | 22-Jun-2026 17:00 | 1 | Group I |
Prob to win: 93.92%
Game ELO: 2099 -> 2108 (+9) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 4.68%
Game ELO: 1578 -> 1569 (-9) |
France win: expected
|
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia | |
| Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 | 16-Jun-2026 15:00 | 1 | Group I |
Prob to win: 71.22%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2099 (+36) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 22.14%
Game ELO: 1860 -> 1824 (-36) |
France win: expected
|
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford | |
| Euro 2024 | 9-Jul-2024 21:00 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 56.44%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 2237 (+80) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 43.56%
Game ELO: 2112 -> 2074 (-38) |
France loss: expected
|
Fußball Arena München, Munich | |
| Euro 2024 | 5-Jul-2024 21:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 37.46%
Game ELO: 1989 -> 1925 (-64) |
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 5 (pen) |
Prob to win: 62.54%
Game ELO: 2078 -> 2112 (+34) |
France win: expected
|
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg | |
| Euro 2024 | 1-Jul-2024 21:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 68.26%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2078 (+15) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 31.74%
Game ELO: 1930 -> 1896 (-34) |
France win: expected
|
Frankfurt Arena, Frankfurt | |
| Euro 2024 | 25-Jun-2024 18:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 87.84%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2044 (-19) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 9.36%
Game ELO: 1674 -> 1715 (+41) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
BVB Stadion Dortmund, Dortmund | |
| Euro 2024 | 21-Jun-2024 21:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 27.04%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 2010 (+62) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 64.85%
Game ELO: 2100 -> 2085 (-15) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
Leipzig Stadium, Leipzig | |
| Euro 2024 | 17-Jun-2024 21:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 18.37%
Game ELO: 1830 -> 1840 (+10) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 76.12%
Game ELO: 2077 -> 2100 (+23) |
France win: expected
|
Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf | |
| Qatar 2022 | 18-Dec-2022 18:00 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 44.55%
Game ELO: 2115 -> 2279 (+164) |
3 - 3 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen) |
Prob to win: 55.45%
Game ELO: 2153 -> 2116 (-37) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail | |
| Qatar 2022 | 14-Dec-2022 22:00 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 51.44%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2153 (+90) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 48.56%
Game ELO: 2053 -> 1985 (-68) |
France win: expected
|
Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor | |
| Qatar 2022 | 10-Dec-2022 22:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 49.42%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2020 (-4) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 50.58%
Game ELO: 2028 -> 2085 (+57) |
France win: expected
|
Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor | |
| Qatar 2022 | 4-Dec-2022 18:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 78.79%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2028 (-35) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 21.21%
Game ELO: 1835 -> 1790 (-45) |
France win: expected
|
Al Thumama Stadium, Doha | |
| Qatar 2022 | 30-Nov-2022 18:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 7.01%
Game ELO: 1628 -> 1772 (+144) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 90.88%
Game ELO: 2073 -> 1983 (-90) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan | |
| Qatar 2022 | 26-Nov-2022 19:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 61.10%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2073 (+10) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 29.92%
Game ELO: 1939 -> 1903 (-36) |
France win: expected
|
Stadium 974, Doha | |
| Qatar 2022 | 22-Nov-2022 22:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 84.79%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2037 (-26) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 11.70%
Game ELO: 1719 -> 1687 (-32) |
France win: expected
|
Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah | |
| Euro 2020 | 28-Jun-2021 21:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 73.02%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1986 (-77) |
3 - 3 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen) |
Prob to win: 26.98%
Game ELO: 1890 -> 1951 (+61) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Arena Na?ionala, Bucharest | |
| Euro 2020 | 23-Jun-2021 21:00 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 33.90%
Game ELO: 1989 -> 1977 (-12) |
2 - 2
|
Prob to win: 55.93%
Game ELO: 2076 -> 2060 (-16) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
Puskás Aréna, Budapest | |
| Euro 2020 | 19-Jun-2021 15:00 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 8.58%
Game ELO: 1711 -> 1752 (+41) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 88.84%
Game ELO: 2117 -> 2076 (-41) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
Puskás Aréna, Budapest | |
| Euro 2020 | 15-Jun-2021 21:00 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 61.51%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2117 (+54) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 29.61%
Game ELO: 1936 -> 1907 (-29) |
France win: expected
|
Allianz Arena, Munich | |
| Russia 2018 | 15-Jul-2018 18:00 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2218 (+155) |
4 - 2
|
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 2027 -> 1982 (-45) |
France win: expected
|
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow | |
| Russia 2018 | 10-Jul-2018 21:00 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 41.17%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2173 (+110) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 58.83%
Game ELO: 2125 -> 2075 (-50) |
France win: upset (loss expected)
|
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg | |
| Russia 2018 | 6-Jul-2018 17:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 28.95%
Game ELO: 1892 -> 1971 (+79) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 71.05%
Game ELO: 2048 -> 2123 (+75) |
France win: expected
|
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod | |
| Russia 2018 | 30-Jun-2018 17:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 74.47%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2048 (-15) |
4 - 3
|
Prob to win: 25.53%
Game ELO: 1877 -> 1846 (-31) |
France win: expected
|
Kazan Arena, Kazan | |
| Russia 2018 | 26-Jun-2018 15:00 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 27.44%
Game ELO: 1889 -> 1909 (+20) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 64.33%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 2017 (-20) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow | |
| Russia 2018 | 21-Jun-2018 13:00 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 71.57%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2037 (-26) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 21.87%
Game ELO: 1857 -> 1827 (-30) |
France win: expected
|
Central Stadium, Yekaterinburg | |
| Russia 2018 | 16-Jun-2018 11:00 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 83.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2007 (-56) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 13.08%
Game ELO: 1742 -> 1722 (-20) |
France win: expected
|
Kazan Arena, Kazan | |
| Euro 2016 | 10-Jul-2016 21:00 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 27.55%
Game ELO: 1989 -> 2119 (+130) |
1 - 0 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 72.45%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 2093 (-64) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Stade de France, Saint-Denis | |
| Euro 2016 | 7-Jul-2016 21:00 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 31.00%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 2038 (+106) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 69.00%
Game ELO: 2071 -> 2157 (+86) |
France win: expected
|
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille | |
| Euro 2016 | 3-Jul-2016 21:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 73.48%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2071 (+8) |
5 - 2
|
Prob to win: 26.52%
Game ELO: 1886 -> 1819 (-67) |
France win: expected
|
Stade de France, Saint-Denis | |
| Euro 2016 | 26-Jun-2016 15:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 84.68%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2004 (-59) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 15.32%
Game ELO: 1766 -> 1744 (-22) |
France win: expected
|
Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Décines-Charpieu | |
| Euro 2016 | 19-Jun-2016 21:00 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 30.45%
Game ELO: 1891 -> 1820 (-71) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 60.41%
Game ELO: 2010 -> 1982 (-28) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve-d'Ascq | |
| Euro 2016 | 15-Jun-2016 21:00 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 92.22%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2010 (-53) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 5.99%
Game ELO: 1588 -> 1575 (-13) |
France win: expected
|
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille | |
| Euro 2016 | 10-Jun-2016 21:00 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 81.57%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1997 (-66) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 14.18%
Game ELO: 1759 -> 1737 (-22) |
France win: expected
|
Stade de France, Saint-Denis | |
| Brazil 2014 | 4-Jul-2014 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 35.73%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2000 (-63) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 64.27%
Game ELO: 2165 -> 2197 (+32) |
France loss: expected
|
||
| Brazil 2014 | 30-Jun-2014 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 85.05%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2032 (-31) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 14.95%
Game ELO: 1761 -> 1731 (-30) |
France win: expected
|
||
| Brazil 2014 | 25-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 33.46%
Game ELO: 1938 -> 1845 (-93) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 56.50%
Game ELO: 2029 -> 2002 (-27) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
Rio De Janeiro | |
| Brazil 2014 | 20-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 38.08%
Game ELO: 1891 -> 1814 (-77) |
2 - 5
|
Prob to win: 50.49%
Game ELO: 1940 -> 2029 (+89) |
France win: expected
|
Salvador | |
| Brazil 2014 | 15-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 88.08%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1940 (-123) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 9.17%
Game ELO: 1670 -> 1628 (-42) |
France win: expected
|
Porto Alegre | |
| Euro 2012 | 23-Jun-2012 21:45 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 1214 (-943) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 939 (+939) |
France loss: expected
|
Donbass Arena, Donetsk | |
| Euro 2012 | 19-Jun-2012 21:45 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 96.58%
Game ELO: 1712 -> 1018 (-694) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 2.63%
Game ELO: 1086 -> 975 (-111) |
France loss: expected
|
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv | |
| Euro 2012 | 15-Jun-2012 19:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 964 (-86) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1086 (+86) |
France win: upset (loss expected)
|
Donbass Arena, Donetsk | |
| Euro 2012 | 11-Jun-2012 19:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1000 (-1063) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 (+1000) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
Donbass Arena, Donetsk | |
| Euro 2008 | 17-Jun-2008 20:45 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 99.83%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 850 (-1213) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 0.13%
Game ELO: 914 -> 992 (+78) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Letzigrund, Zürich | |
| Euro 2008 | 13-Jun-2008 20:45 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 99.45%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 1172 (-776) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.42%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 928 (-72) |
France loss: expected
|
Stade de Suisse, Bern | |
| Euro 2008 | 9-Jun-2008 18:00 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 (+1000) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 (+1000) |
France draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Letzigrund, Zürich | |
| Germany 2006 | 9-Jul-2006 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 2162 -> 2209 (+47) |
1 - 1 (aet)
5 - 3 (pen) |
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 2138 -> 2091 (-47) |
France loss: expected
|
Berlin |
Raymond Domenech |
| Germany 2006 | 5-Jul-2006 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 34.29%
Game ELO: 1989 -> 1965 (-24) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 65.71%
Game ELO: 2102 -> 2138 (+36) |
France win: expected
|
Munich |
Raymond Domenech |
| Germany 2006 | 1-Jul-2006 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 43.42%
Game ELO: 1991 -> 2082 (+91) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 56.58%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 2102 (+65) |
France win: expected
|
Frankfurt |
Raymond Domenech |
| Germany 2006 | 27-Jun-2006 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 78.50%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 1972 (-185) |
1 - 3
|
Prob to win: 21.50%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 2037 (+105) |
France win: upset (loss expected)
|
Hanover |
Raymond Domenech |
| Germany 2006 | 23-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 6.18%
Game ELO: 1454 -> 1445 (-9) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 91.96%
Game ELO: 1923 -> 1932 (+9) |
France win: expected
|
Raymond Domenech |
|
| Germany 2006 | 18-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 82.34%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1923 (-140) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 13.59%
Game ELO: 1750 -> 1776 (+26) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
Raymond Domenech |
|
| Germany 2006 | 13-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 77.86%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1949 (-114) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 17.03%
Game ELO: 1799 -> 1822 (+23) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
Raymond Domenech |
|
| Euro 2004 | 25-Jun-2004 19:45 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1021 (-1042) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1042 (+1042) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon | |
| Euro 2004 | 21-Jun-2004 19:45 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 98.98%
Game ELO: 1891 -> 843 (-1048) |
1 - 3
|
Prob to win: 0.78%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1086 (+36) |
France win: upset (loss expected)
|
Estádio Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra | |
| Euro 2004 | 17-Jun-2004 19:45 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 99.10%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1007 (-905) |
2 - 2
|
Prob to win: 0.69%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1043 (-7) |
France draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria | |
| Euro 2004 | 13-Jun-2004 19:45 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1050 (-1013) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 (+950) |
France win: expected
|
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon | |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 11-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 35.87%
Game ELO: 1907 -> 1997 (+90) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 53.37%
Game ELO: 1976 -> 1886 (-90) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Incheon Munhak Stadium, Incheon |
Roger Lemerre |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 6-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 80.42%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1976 (-87) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 15.06%
Game ELO: 1772 -> 1801 (+29) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
Asiad Main Stadium, Busan |
Roger Lemerre |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 31-May-2002 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 86.01%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2005 (-58) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 10.77%
Game ELO: 1702 -> 1793 (+91) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul |
Roger Lemerre |
| Euro 2000 | 2-Jul-2000 20:00 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1250 (-813) |
2 - 1 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1223 (+1223) |
France win: expected
|
De Kuip, Rotterdam | |
| Euro 2000 | 28-Jun-2000 20:45 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1186 (-877) |
2 - 1 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1141 (+1141) |
France win: expected
|
King Baudouin Stadium, Brussels | |
| Euro 2000 | 25-Jun-2000 20:45 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 1016 (-1141) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1125 (+1125) |
France win: upset (loss expected)
|
Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges | |
| Euro 2000 | 21-Jun-2000 20:45 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 99.47%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1077 (-986) |
2 - 3
|
Prob to win: 0.41%
Game ELO: 1109 -> 1162 (+53) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Amsterdam Arena, Amsterdam | |
| Euro 2000 | 16-Jun-2000 18:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 96.84%
Game ELO: 1740 -> 920 (-820) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 2.43%
Game ELO: 1100 -> 1130 (+30) |
France win: upset (loss expected)
|
Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges | |
| Euro 2000 | 11-Jun-2000 18:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1100 (-963) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 900 (+900) |
France win: expected
|
Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges | |
| France 1998 | 12-Jul-1998 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 28.24%
Game ELO: 1991 -> 2044 (+53) |
0 - 3
|
Prob to win: 71.76%
Game ELO: 2153 -> 2249 (+96) |
France win: expected
|
Saint-Denis |
Aimé Jacquet |
| France 1998 | 8-Jul-1998 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 39.37%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2153 (+90) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 60.63%
Game ELO: 2138 -> 2082 (-56) |
France win: upset (loss expected)
|
Saint-Denis |
Aimé Jacquet |
| France 1998 | 3-Jul-1998 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 2060 -> 2124 (+64) |
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen) |
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 2161 -> 2097 (-64) |
France win: expected
|
Saint-Denis |
Aimé Jacquet |
| France 1998 | 30-Jun-1998 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 72.91%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2161 (+98) |
1 - 0 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 27.09%
Game ELO: 1891 -> 1872 (-19) |
France win: expected
|
St. Étienne |
Aimé Jacquet |
| France 1998 | 24-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 70.15%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2142 (+79) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 22.96%
Game ELO: 1869 -> 1850 (-19) |
France win: expected
|
Gerland, Lyon |
Aimé Jacquet |
| France 1998 | 18-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 91.16%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2123 (+60) |
4 - 0
|
Prob to win: 6.80%
Game ELO: 1612 -> 1593 (-19) |
France win: expected
|
Stade de France, Saint-Denis |
Aimé Jacquet |
| France 1998 | 12-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 89.01%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2104 (+41) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 8.45%
Game ELO: 1654 -> 1639 (-15) |
France win: expected
|
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille |
Aimé Jacquet |
| Euro 1996 | 26-Jun-1996 16:00 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1085 (-978) |
0 - 0 (aet)
5 - 6 (pen) |
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1116 (+1116) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Old Trafford, Manchester | |
| Euro 1996 | 22-Jun-1996 18:30 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1149 (-914) |
0 - 0 (aet)
5 - 4 (pen) |
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 944 (+944) |
France win: expected
|
Anfield, Liverpool | |
| Euro 1996 | 18-Jun-1996 16:30 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 99.63%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1118 (-945) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.28%
Game ELO: 1043 -> 968 (-75) |
France win: expected
|
St James' Park, Newcastle | |
| Euro 1996 | 15-Jun-1996 18:00 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 99.71%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1043 (-1020) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.22%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1007 (+7) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
Elland Road, Leeds | |
| Euro 1996 | 10-Jun-1996 19:30 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 (+950) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 (+1050) |
France win: upset (loss expected)
|
St James' Park, Newcastle | |
| Euro 1992 | 17-Jun-1992 20:15 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 99.79%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 943 (-1120) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 0.16%
Game ELO: 950 -> 1007 (+57) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Malmö Stadion, Malmö | |
| Euro 1992 | 14-Jun-1992 17:15 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 99.71%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1000 (-1063) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 0.22%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1000 (+0) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
Malmö Stadion, Malmö | |
| Euro 1992 | 10-Jun-1992 20:15 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 99.99%
Game ELO: 1712 -> 1000 (-712) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.01%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 (+1000) |
France draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Råsunda Stadium, Solna | |
| Mexico 1986 | 28-Jun-1986 | 2 | 3rd Place |
Prob to win: 70.22%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2028 (-35) |
4 - 2 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 29.78%
Game ELO: 1914 -> 1850 (-64) |
France win: expected
|
Puebla |
Henri Michel |
| Mexico 1986 | 25-Jun-1986 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 59.94%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1964 (-99) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 40.06%
Game ELO: 1993 -> 2080 (+87) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Guadalajara |
Henri Michel |
| Mexico 1986 | 21-Jun-1986 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 34.42%
Game ELO: 1991 -> 2138 (+147) |
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen) |
Prob to win: 65.58%
Game ELO: 2103 -> 2051 (-52) |
France win: expected
|
Guadalajara |
Henri Michel |
| Mexico 1986 | 17-Jun-1986 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 71.99%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2103 (+40) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 28.01%
Game ELO: 1899 -> 1857 (-42) |
France win: expected
|
Mexico City |
Henri Michel |
| Mexico 1986 | 9-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 78.25%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2061 (-2) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 16.73%
Game ELO: 1795 -> 1752 (-43) |
France win: expected
|
Estadio Nou Camp, León |
Henri Michel |
| Mexico 1986 | 5-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 40.52%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2018 (-45) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 47.33%
Game ELO: 2090 -> 2078 (-12) |
France draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Nou Camp, León |
Henri Michel |
| Mexico 1986 | 1-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 89.07%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2006 (-57) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 8.41%
Game ELO: 1653 -> 1641 (-12) |
France win: expected
|
Estadio Nou Camp, León |
Henri Michel |
| Euro 1984 | 27-Jun-1984 20:00 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1312 (-751) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1074 (+1074) |
France win: expected
|
Parc des Princes, Paris | |
| Euro 1984 | 23-Jun-1984 20:00 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1268 (-795) |
3 - 2 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1019 (+1019) |
France win: expected
|
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille | |
| Euro 1984 | 19-Jun-1984 20:30 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 99.93%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1244 (-819) |
3 - 2
|
Prob to win: 0.06%
Game ELO: 763 -> 757 (-6) |
France win: expected
|
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne | |
| Euro 1984 | 16-Jun-1984 17:15 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 99.56%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1238 (-825) |
5 - 0
|
Prob to win: 0.34%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 887 (-188) |
France win: expected
|
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes | |
| Euro 1984 | 12-Jun-1984 20:30 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1050 (-1013) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 (+950) |
France win: expected
|
Parc des Princes, Paris | |
| Spain 1982 | 10-Jul-1982 | 3 | 3rd Place |
Prob to win: 54.73%
Game ELO: 1999 -> 2044 (+45) |
3 - 2
|
Prob to win: 45.27%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 1921 (-45) |
France loss: expected
|
Alicante |
Michel Hidalgo |
| Spain 1982 | 8-Jul-1982 | 3 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 64.54%
Game ELO: 2105 -> 2140 (+35) |
3 - 3 (aet)
5 - 4 (pen) |
Prob to win: 35.46%
Game ELO: 2001 -> 1966 (-35) |
France loss: expected
|
Seville |
Michel Hidalgo |
| Spain 1982 | 4-Jul-1982 | 2 | Group D |
Prob to win: 31.84%
Game ELO: 1825 -> 1755 (-70) |
1 - 4
|
Prob to win: 58.61%
Game ELO: 1931 -> 2001 (+70) |
France win: expected
|
Estadio Vicente Calderón, Madrid |
Michel Hidalgo |
| Spain 1982 | 28-Jun-1982 | 2 | Group D |
Prob to win: 38.97%
Game ELO: 1830 -> 1882 (+52) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 49.34%
Game ELO: 1871 -> 1931 (+60) |
France win: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Vicente Calderón, Madrid |
Michel Hidalgo |
| Spain 1982 | 24-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 75.49%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1871 (-192) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 18.85%
Game ELO: 1822 -> 1830 (+8) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid |
Michel Hidalgo |
| Spain 1982 | 21-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 88.44%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1879 (-184) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 8.89%
Game ELO: 1664 -> 1606 (-58) |
France win: expected
|
Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid |
Michel Hidalgo |
| Spain 1982 | 16-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 64.06%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2020 (-4) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 27.64%
Game ELO: 1878 -> 1821 (-57) |
France loss: expected
|
Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao |
Michel Hidalgo |
| Argentina 1978 | 10-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 75.91%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1885 (-178) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 18.53%
Game ELO: 1818 -> 1741 (-77) |
France win: expected
|
Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata |
Michel Hidalgo |
| Argentina 1978 | 6-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 79.02%
Game ELO: 2115 -> 2006 (-109) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 16.13%
Game ELO: 1839 -> 1808 (-31) |
France loss: expected
|
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires |
Michel Hidalgo |
| Argentina 1978 | 2-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 51.21%
Game ELO: 1935 -> 1977 (+42) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 37.53%
Game ELO: 1881 -> 1839 (-42) |
France loss: expected
|
Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata |
Michel Hidalgo |
| England 1966 | 20-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 80.33%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2045 (+21) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 15.13%
Game ELO: 1734 -> 1710 (-24) |
France loss: expected
|
Wembley Stadium, London |
Henri Guérin |
| England 1966 | 15-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 60.82%
Game ELO: 1892 -> 1903 (+11) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 30.14%
Game ELO: 1770 -> 1734 (-36) |
France loss: expected
|
White City Stadium, London |
Henri Guérin |
| England 1966 | 13-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 70.51%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1770 (-293) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 22.69%
Game ELO: 1866 -> 1850 (-16) |
France draw: upset (win expected)
|
Wembley Stadium, London |
Henri Guérin |
| Euro 1960 | 9-Jul-1960 21:30 | 1 | Final |
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 900 -> 986 (+86) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 950 -> 864 (-86) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille | |
| Euro 1960 | 6-Jul-1960 20:00 | 1 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 950 (-1113) |
4 - 5
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 (+1050) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Parc des Princes, Paris | |
| Sweden 1958 | 28-Jun-1958 | 2 | 3rd Place |
Prob to win: 41.73%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 1849 (-83) |
3 - 6
|
Prob to win: 58.27%
Game ELO: 1990 -> 2073 (+83) |
France win: expected
|
Gothenburg |
Albert Batteux |
| Sweden 1958 | 24-Jun-1958 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 41.87%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1990 (-73) |
2 - 5
|
Prob to win: 58.13%
Game ELO: 2120 -> 2208 (+88) |
France loss: expected
|
Solna |
Albert Batteux |
| Sweden 1958 | 19-Jun-1958 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 75.23%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2078 (+15) |
4 - 0
|
Prob to win: 24.77%
Game ELO: 1870 -> 1728 (-142) |
France win: expected
|
Norrköping |
Albert Batteux |
| Sweden 1958 | 15-Jun-1958 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 81.83%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1936 (-127) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 13.98%
Game ELO: 1756 -> 1726 (-30) |
France win: expected
|
Eyravallen, Örebro |
Albert Batteux |
| Sweden 1958 | 11-Jun-1958 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 34.44%
Game ELO: 1886 -> 1948 (+62) |
3 - 2
|
Prob to win: 55.22%
Game ELO: 1968 -> 1906 (-62) |
France loss: upset (win expected)
|
Arosvallen, Västerås |
Albert Batteux |
| Sweden 1958 | 8-Jun-1958 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 82.34%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1968 (-95) |
7 - 3
|
Prob to win: 13.59%
Game ELO: 1750 -> 1617 (-133) |
France win: expected
|
Idrottsparken, Norrköping |
Albert Batteux |
| Switzerland 1954 | 19-Jun-1954 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 89.29%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1775 (-288) |
3 - 2
|
Prob to win: 8.24%
Game ELO: 1649 -> 1612 (-37) |
France win: expected
|
Charmilles Stadium, Geneva |
Pierre Pibarot |
| Switzerland 1954 | 16-Jun-1954 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 66.67%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 1960 (+28) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 25.64%
Game ELO: 1766 -> 1738 (-28) |
France loss: expected
|
Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne |
Pierre Pibarot |
| France 1938 | 12-Jun-1938 | 1 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 89.86%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 2080 (+15) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 10.14%
Game ELO: 1686 -> 1671 (-15) |
France loss: expected
|
Paris |
Gaston Barreau |
| France 1938 | 5-Jun-1938 | 1 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 94.62%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1686 (-377) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 5.38%
Game ELO: 1565 -> 1503 (-62) |
France win: expected
|
Paris |
Gaston Barreau |
| Italy 1934 | 27-May-1934 | 1 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 77.52%
Game ELO: 1830 -> 2056 (+226) |
3 - 2 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 22.48%
Game ELO: 1615 -> 1607 (-8) |
France loss: expected
|
Turin |
 George Kimpton |
| Uruguay 1930 | 19-Jul-1930 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 45.33%
Game ELO: 1653 -> 1701 (+48) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 42.06%
Game ELO: 1640 -> 1592 (-48) |
France loss: expected
|
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo |
Raoul Caudron |
| Uruguay 1930 | 15-Jul-1930 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 91.88%
Game ELO: 2115 -> 2085 (-30) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 6.25%
Game ELO: 1648 -> 1640 (-8) |
France loss: expected
|
Estadio Parque Central, Montevideo |
Raoul Caudron |
| Uruguay 1930 | 13-Jul-1930 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 73.75%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1648 (-415) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 20.19%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1488 (-350) |
France win: expected
|
Estadio Pocitos, Montevideo |
Raoul Caudron |
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