Bulgaria details

Bulgaria

Statistics:
  • Games: 32
  • Expected results: 20 (62.50%)
  • Unexpected results: 12 (37.50%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 5 Won, 19 Lost, 8 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LLLLL
  • Expected wins: 3 (9.38%)
  • Expected losses: 17 (53.13%)
  • Unexpected wins: 2 (6.25%)
  • Unexpected losses: 2 (6.25%)
  • Unexpected draws: 8 (25.00%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 9
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -23
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 8
  • Total: -6

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2004 22-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 70.63%
Game ELO: 1023
-> 1043 (+20)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 22.59%
Game ELO: 825
-> 765 (-60)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Euro 2004 18-Jun-2004 17:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 0.31%
Game ELO: 0
-> 785 (+785)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 99.59%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1040 (+40)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Euro 2004 14-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 99.99%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1175 (-537)
5 - 0
Prob to win: 0.01%
Game ELO: 0
-> 825 (+825)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
France 1998 24-Jun-1998 1 Group D
Prob to win: 91.26%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1984 (-173)
6 - 1
Prob to win: 6.73%
Game ELO: 1704
-> 1617 (-87)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Stade Félix Bollaert, Lens Hristo Bonev
France 1998 19-Jun-1998 1 Group D
Prob to win: 50.06%
Game ELO: 1793
-> 1836 (+43)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 38.41%
Game ELO: 1747
-> 1704 (-43)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris Hristo Bonev
France 1998 12-Jun-1998 1 Group D
Prob to win: 42.61%
Game ELO: 1730
-> 1794 (+64)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 44.61%
Game ELO: 1738
-> 1747 (+9)
Bulgaria draw: upset (loss expected)
Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier Hristo Bonev
Euro 1996 18-Jun-1996 16:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 99.63%
Game ELO: 2063
-> 1118 (-945)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 0.28%
Game ELO: 1043
-> 968 (-75)
Bulgaria loss: expected
St James' Park, Newcastle
Euro 1996 13-Jun-1996 16:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1043 (+43)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 950
-> 907 (-43)
Bulgaria win: expected
St James' Park, Newcastle
Euro 1996 9-Jun-1996 14:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1000 (-1157)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1000 (+1000)
Bulgaria draw: upset (loss expected)
Elland Road, Leeds
USA 1994 16-Jul-1994 2 3rd Place
Prob to win: 24.45%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 2080 (+368)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 75.55%
Game ELO: 1908
-> 1729 (-179)
Bulgaria loss: upset (win expected)
Pasadena Dimitar Penev
USA 1994 13-Jul-1994 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 36.39%
Game ELO: 1944
-> 1908 (-36)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 63.61%
Game ELO: 2041
-> 2077 (+36)
Bulgaria loss: expected
East Rutherford Dimitar Penev
USA 1994 10-Jul-1994 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 58.69%
Game ELO: 1932
-> 1970 (+38)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 41.31%
Game ELO: 1871
-> 1944 (+73)
Bulgaria win: upset (loss expected)
East Rutherford Dimitar Penev
USA 1994 5-Jul-1994 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 42.57%
Game ELO: 1875
-> 1941 (+66)
1 - 1 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen)
Prob to win: 57.43%
Game ELO: 1927
-> 1871 (-56)
Bulgaria win: expected
East Rutherford Dimitar Penev
USA 1994 30-Jun-1994 1 Group D
Prob to win: 81.49%
Game ELO: 2115
-> 1906 (-209)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 14.24%
Game ELO: 1812
-> 1927 (+115)
Bulgaria win: upset (loss expected)
Cotton Bowl, Dallas Dimitar Penev
USA 1994 26-Jun-1994 1 Group D
Prob to win: 38.08%
Game ELO: 1613
-> 1463 (-150)
0 - 4
Prob to win: 50.49%
Game ELO: 1662
-> 1812 (+150)
Bulgaria win: expected
Soldier Field, Chicago Dimitar Penev
USA 1994 21-Jun-1994 1 Group D
Prob to win: 40.18%
Game ELO: 1741
-> 1850 (+109)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 47.76%
Game ELO: 1771
-> 1662 (-109)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Cotton Bowl, Dallas Dimitar Penev
Mexico 1986 15-Jun-1986 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 66.23%
Game ELO: 1875
-> 1943 (+68)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 33.77%
Game ELO: 1758
-> 1711 (-47)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Mexico City Ivan Vutsov
Mexico 1986 10-Jun-1986 1 Group A
Prob to win: 81.14%
Game ELO: 2115
-> 1956 (-159)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 14.51%
Game ELO: 1816
-> 1758 (-58)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City Ivan Vutsov
Mexico 1986 5-Jun-1986 1 Group A
Prob to win: 76.64%
Game ELO: 1847
-> 1816 (-31)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 17.97%
Game ELO: 1595
-> 1626 (+31)
Bulgaria draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City Ivan Vutsov
Mexico 1986 31-May-1986 1 Group A
Prob to win: 49.49%
Game ELO: 1883
-> 1877 (-6)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 38.86%
Game ELO: 1841
-> 1847 (+6)
Bulgaria draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City Ivan Vutsov
West Germany 1974 23-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 63.00%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1970 (+22)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 28.46%
Game ELO: 1810
-> 1733 (-77)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Hristo Mladenov
West Germany 1974 19-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 52.65%
Game ELO: 1892
-> 1716 (-176)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 36.42%
Game ELO: 1828
-> 1810 (-18)
Bulgaria draw: upset (loss expected)
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover Hristo Mladenov
West Germany 1974 15-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 31.73%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1874 (+162)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 58.75%
Game ELO: 1819
-> 1828 (+9)
Bulgaria draw: upset (win expected)
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Hristo Mladenov
Mexico 1970 11-Jun-1970 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 60.27%
Game ELO: 1827
-> 1616 (-211)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 30.56%
Game ELO: 1709
-> 1694 (-15)
Bulgaria draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Nou Camp, León Stefan Bozhkov
Mexico 1970 7-Jun-1970 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 77.46%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 2043 (+37)
5 - 2
Prob to win: 17.34%
Game ELO: 1746
-> 1709 (-37)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Estadio Nou Camp, León Stefan Bozhkov
Mexico 1970 2-Jun-1970 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 32.59%
Game ELO: 1711
-> 1775 (+64)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 57.63%
Game ELO: 1810
-> 1746 (-64)
Bulgaria loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Nou Camp, León Stefan Bozhkov
England 1966 20-Jul-1966 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 77.66%
Game ELO: 1969
-> 1996 (+27)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 17.19%
Game ELO: 1707
-> 1680 (-27)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Old Trafford, Manchester Rudolf Vytlacil
England 1966 16-Jul-1966 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 73.97%
Game ELO: 1989
-> 1986 (-3)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 20.02%
Game ELO: 1762
-> 1707 (-55)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Old Trafford, Manchester Rudolf Vytlacil
England 1966 12-Jul-1966 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 70.27%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 2044 (+53)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 22.87%
Game ELO: 1796
-> 1762 (-34)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Goodison Park, Liverpool Rudolf Vytlacil
Chile 1962 7-Jun-1962 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 85.08%
Game ELO: 2024
-> 1950 (-74)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 11.48%
Game ELO: 1676
-> 1712 (+36)
Bulgaria draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Georgi Pachedzhiev
Chile 1962 3-Jun-1962 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 77.26%
Game ELO: 1999
-> 2064 (+65)
6 - 1
Prob to win: 17.50%
Game ELO: 1741
-> 1676 (-65)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Georgi Pachedzhiev
Chile 1962 30-May-1962 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 85.37%
Game ELO: 2115
-> 2001 (-114)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 11.25%
Game ELO: 1763
-> 1741 (-22)
Bulgaria loss: expected
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Georgi Pachedzhiev