Spain details

Spain

Statistics:
  • Games: 117
  • Expected results: 61 (53.04%)
  • Unexpected results: 54 (46.96%)
  • Unknown games: 2
  • Record: 59 Won, 34 Lost, 22 Drawn, 2 Unknown
  • Last five games: WDWWW
  • Expected wins: 49 (42.61%)
  • Expected losses: 12 (10.43%)
  • Unexpected wins: 10 (8.70%)
  • Unexpected losses: 22 (19.13%)
  • Unexpected draws: 22 (19.13%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 79
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -78
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 22
  • Total: 23

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 2-Jul-2026 12:00 2 Top 32
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 26-Jun-2026 18:00 1 Group H
Prob to win: 14.31%
Pregame ELO: 1827
Prob to win: 81.40%
Pregame ELO: 2129
Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 21-Jun-2026 12:00 1 Group H
Prob to win: 93.11%
Game ELO: 2110
-> 2129 (+19)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 5.30%
Game ELO: 1612
-> 1593 (-19)
Spain win: expected
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 15-Jun-2026 12:00 1 Group H
Prob to win: 95.57%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2110 (-47)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 3.41%
Game ELO: 1578
-> 1625 (+47)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Euro 2024 14-Jul-2024 21:00 2 Final
Prob to win: 61.99%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2265 (+108)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 38.01%
Game ELO: 2072
-> 2044 (-28)
Spain win: expected
Olympiastadion, Berlin
Euro 2024 9-Jul-2024 21:00 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 56.44%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2237 (+80)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 43.56%
Game ELO: 2112
-> 2074 (-38)
Spain win: expected
Fußball Arena München, Munich
Euro 2024 5-Jul-2024 18:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 63.21%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2199 (+42)
2 - 1 (aet)
Prob to win: 36.79%
Game ELO: 2063
-> 2027 (-36)
Spain win: expected
Stuttgart Arena, Stuttgart
Euro 2024 30-Jun-2024 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 90.37%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2163 (+6)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 9.63%
Game ELO: 1768
-> 1747 (-21)
Spain win: expected
Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen
Euro 2024 24-Jun-2024 21:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 5.47%
Game ELO: 1644
-> 1638 (-6)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 92.89%
Game ELO: 2136
-> 2142 (+6)
Spain win: expected
Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf
Euro 2024 20-Jun-2024 21:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 70.15%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2136 (-21)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 22.96%
Game ELO: 1963
-> 1932 (-31)
Spain win: expected
Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen
Euro 2024 15-Jun-2024 18:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 69.42%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2105 (-52)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 23.52%
Game ELO: 1969
-> 1884 (-85)
Spain win: expected
Olympiastadion, Berlin
Qatar 2022 6-Dec-2022 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 28.47%
Game ELO: 1827
-> 1981 (+154)
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 0 (pen)
Prob to win: 71.53%
Game ELO: 1987
-> 1928 (-59)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 1-Dec-2022 22:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 25.84%
Game ELO: 1906
-> 1879 (-27)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 66.41%
Game ELO: 2070
-> 1987 (-83)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 27-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 78.05%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2070 (-87)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 16.88%
Game ELO: 1891
-> 1918 (+27)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Qatar 2022 23-Nov-2022 19:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 89.29%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2097 (-60)
7 - 0
Prob to win: 8.24%
Game ELO: 1743
-> 1691 (-52)
Spain win: expected
Al Thumama Stadium, Doha
Euro 2020 6-Jul-2021 21:00 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 47.12%
Game ELO: 2013
-> 2261 (+248)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Prob to win: 52.88%
Game ELO: 2033
-> 2063 (+30)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020 2-Jul-2021 21:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 30.63%
Game ELO: 1891
-> 1901 (+10)
1 - 1 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen)
Prob to win: 69.37%
Game ELO: 2033
-> 2121 (+88)
Spain win: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Euro 2020 28-Jun-2021 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 33.26%
Game ELO: 1912
-> 1809 (-103)
3 - 5 (aet)
Prob to win: 66.74%
Game ELO: 2033
-> 2071 (+38)
Spain win: expected
Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Euro 2020 23-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 15.84%
Game ELO: 1695
-> 1637 (-58)
0 - 5
Prob to win: 79.40%
Game ELO: 1975
-> 2033 (+58)
Spain win: expected
La Cartuja, Seville
Euro 2020 19-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 90.14%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1975 (-182)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 7.58%
Game ELO: 1727
-> 1761 (+34)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
La Cartuja, Seville
Euro 2020 14-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 81.92%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2009 (-148)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 13.91%
Game ELO: 1849
-> 1873 (+24)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
La Cartuja, Seville
Russia 2018 1-Jul-2018 17:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 90.32%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2037 (-120)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 9.68%
Game ELO: 1769
-> 1750 (-19)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow
Russia 2018 25-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 92.50%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2018 (-139)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 5.77%
Game ELO: 1675
-> 1715 (+40)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Kaliningrad Stadium, Kaliningrad
Russia 2018 20-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 17.19%
Game ELO: 1772
-> 1807 (+35)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 77.66%
Game ELO: 2034
-> 2058 (+24)
Spain win: expected
Kazan Arena, Kazan
Russia 2018 15-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 37.42%
Game ELO: 1989
-> 1980 (-9)
3 - 3
Prob to win: 51.36%
Game ELO: 2044
-> 2034 (-10)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Euro 2016 27-Jun-2016 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 38.82%
Game ELO: 1899
-> 1991 (+92)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 61.18%
Game ELO: 1978
-> 1886 (-92)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Stade de France, Saint-Denis
Euro 2016 21-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 28.05%
Game ELO: 1912
-> 1927 (+15)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 63.53%
Game ELO: 2054
-> 1978 (-76)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Nouveau Stade de Bordeaux, Bordeaux
Euro 2016 17-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 87.27%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2054 (-103)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 9.79%
Game ELO: 1777
-> 1736 (-41)
Spain win: expected
Stade de Nice, Nice
Euro 2016 13-Jun-2016 15:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 88.61%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2013 (-144)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 8.76%
Game ELO: 1755
-> 1735 (-20)
Spain win: expected
Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
Brazil 2014 23-Jun-2014 1 Group B
Prob to win: 42.39%
Game ELO: 1777
-> 1602 (-175)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 44.90%
Game ELO: 1787
-> 1855 (+68)
Spain win: upset (loss expected)
Curitiba
Brazil 2014 18-Jun-2014 1 Group B
Prob to win: 71.10%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1787 (-370)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 22.23%
Game ELO: 1955
-> 2006 (+51)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Rio De Janeiro
Brazil 2014 13-Jun-2014 1 Group B
Prob to win: 77.56%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1838 (-319)
1 - 5
Prob to win: 17.26%
Game ELO: 1896
-> 2167 (+271)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Salvador
Euro 2012 1-Jul-2012 21:45 2 Final
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1399 (-758)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1048 (+1048)
Spain win: expected
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2012 27-Jun-2012 21:45 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1989
-> 1046 (-943)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1264 (+1264)
Spain win: upset (loss expected)
Donbass Arena, Donetsk
Euro 2012 23-Jun-2012 21:45 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1214 (-943)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 939 (+939)
Spain win: expected
Donbass Arena, Donetsk
Euro 2012 18-Jun-2012 20:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 98.51%
Game ELO: 1912
-> 1024 (-888)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 1.14%
Game ELO: 1138
-> 1178 (+40)
Spain win: upset (loss expected)
PGE Arena, Gdansk
Euro 2012 14-Jun-2012 20:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 99.89%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1138 (-1019)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 0.08%
Game ELO: 925
-> 787 (-138)
Spain win: expected
PGE Arena, Gdansk
Euro 2012 10-Jun-2012 18:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1000 (-1157)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1000 (+1000)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
PGE Arena, Gdansk
Euro 2008 29-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Final
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1932
-> 1126 (-806)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1321 (+1321)
Spain win: upset (loss expected)
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Euro 2008 26-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1068 (+1068)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1289 (+1289)
Spain win: expected
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Euro 2008 22-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1204 (-953)
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 951 (+951)
Spain win: expected
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Euro 2008 18-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 16.21%
Game ELO: 871
-> 854 (-17)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 78.93%
Game ELO: 1146
-> 1163 (+17)
Spain win: expected
Stadion Wals-Siezenheim, Salzburg
Euro 2008 14-Jun-2008 18:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 96.31%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1029 (-683)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 2.84%
Game ELO: 1100
-> 1146 (+46)
Spain win: upset (loss expected)
Tivoli-Neu, Innsbruck
Euro 2008 10-Jun-2008 18:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1100 (-1057)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 900 (+900)
Spain win: expected
Tivoli-Neu, Innsbruck
Germany 2006 27-Jun-2006 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 78.50%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1972 (-185)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 21.50%
Game ELO: 1932
-> 2037 (+105)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Hanover Luis Aragonés
Germany 2006 23-Jun-2006 1 Group H
Prob to win: 5.30%
Game ELO: 1576
-> 1470 (-106)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 93.11%
Game ELO: 2074
-> 2077 (+3)
Spain win: expected
Luis Aragonés
Germany 2006 19-Jun-2006 1 Group H
Prob to win: 91.84%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2074 (-83)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 6.28%
Game ELO: 1691
-> 1675 (-16)
Spain win: expected
Luis Aragonés
Germany 2006 14-Jun-2006 1 Group H
Prob to win: 86.42%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2058 (-99)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 10.45%
Game ELO: 1790
-> 1696 (-94)
Spain win: expected
Luis Aragonés
Euro 2004 20-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group A
Prob to win: 99.81%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 996 (-1161)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 0.15%
Game ELO: 1025
-> 1079 (+54)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Euro 2004 16-Jun-2004 17:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 0.24%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1050 (+1050)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 99.69%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1050 (+0)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Bessa, Porto
Euro 2004 12-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group A
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1050 (-1107)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 950 (+950)
Spain win: expected
Estádio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Korea/ Japan 2002 21-Jun-2002 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 76.81%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2102 (-55)
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 5 (pen)
Prob to win: 23.19%
Game ELO: 1949
-> 1916 (-33)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Ulsan José Antonio Camacho
Korea/ Japan 2002 16-Jun-2002 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 80.56%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2069 (-88)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen)
Prob to win: 19.44%
Game ELO: 1910
-> 1877 (-33)
Spain win: expected
Suwon José Antonio Camacho
Korea/ Japan 2002 12-Jun-2002 1 Group B
Prob to win: 5.13%
Game ELO: 1517
-> 1700 (+183)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 93.33%
Game ELO: 2021
-> 2036 (+15)
Spain win: expected
Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon José Antonio Camacho
Korea/ Japan 2002 7-Jun-2002 1 Group B
Prob to win: 90.59%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2021 (-136)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 7.24%
Game ELO: 1718
-> 1693 (-25)
Spain win: expected
Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju José Antonio Camacho
Korea/ Japan 2002 2-Jun-2002 1 Group B
Prob to win: 89.35%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1996 (-161)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 8.20%
Game ELO: 1742
-> 1709 (-33)
Spain win: expected
Gwangju World Cup Stadium, Gwangju José Antonio Camacho
Euro 2000 25-Jun-2000 20:45 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1016 (-1141)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1125 (+1125)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges
Euro 2000 21-Jun-2000 18:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1057
-> 1000 (-57)
3 - 4
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 1007
-> 1064 (+57)
Spain win: upset (loss expected)
Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges
Euro 2000 18-Jun-2000 18:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 943 (-57)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 950
-> 1007 (+57)
Spain win: upset (loss expected)
Amsterdam Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2000 13-Jun-2000 18:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 950 (-1207)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1050 (+1050)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Feijenoord Stadion, Rotterdam
France 1998 24-Jun-1998 1 Group D
Prob to win: 91.26%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1984 (-173)
6 - 1
Prob to win: 6.73%
Game ELO: 1704
-> 1617 (-87)
Spain win: expected
Stade Félix Bollaert, Lens Javier Clemente
France 1998 19-Jun-1998 1 Group D
Prob to win: 86.14%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1897 (-260)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 10.66%
Game ELO: 1794
-> 1811 (+17)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne Javier Clemente
France 1998 13-Jun-1998 1 Group D
Prob to win: 91.02%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1914 (-243)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 6.90%
Game ELO: 1709
-> 1793 (+84)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes Javier Clemente
Euro 1996 22-Jun-1996 15:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 995 (-1162)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1223 (+1223)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 18-Jun-1996 16:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 32.49%
Game ELO: 907
-> 871 (-36)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 57.77%
Game ELO: 1007
-> 1043 (+36)
Spain win: expected
Elland Road, Leeds
Euro 1996 15-Jun-1996 18:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 99.71%
Game ELO: 2063
-> 1043 (-1020)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 0.22%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1007 (+7)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
Elland Road, Leeds
Euro 1996 9-Jun-1996 14:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1000 (-1157)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1000 (+1000)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Elland Road, Leeds
USA 1994 9-Jul-1994 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 48.13%
Game ELO: 1989
-> 2041 (+52)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 51.87%
Game ELO: 2002
-> 1950 (-52)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Foxborough Javier Clemente
USA 1994 2-Jul-1994 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 85.19%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2002 (-155)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 14.81%
Game ELO: 1853
-> 1773 (-80)
Spain win: expected
Washington Javier Clemente
USA 1994 27-Jun-1994 1 Group C
Prob to win: 22.50%
Game ELO: 1687
-> 1651 (-36)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 70.75%
Game ELO: 1886
-> 1922 (+36)
Spain win: expected
Soldier Field, Chicago Javier Clemente
USA 1994 21-Jun-1994 1 Group C
Prob to win: 53.22%
Game ELO: 1932
-> 2002 (+70)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 35.98%
Game ELO: 1864
-> 1886 (+22)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
Soldier Field, Chicago Javier Clemente
USA 1994 17-Jun-1994 1 Group C
Prob to win: 92.89%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1864 (-293)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 5.47%
Game ELO: 1665
-> 1694 (+29)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Cotton Bowl, Dallas Javier Clemente
Italy 1990 26-Jun-1990 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 82.64%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1939 (-218)
1 - 2 (aet)
Prob to win: 17.36%
Game ELO: 1886
-> 1953 (+67)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Verona Luis Suárez
Italy 1990 21-Jun-1990 1 Group E
Prob to win: 36.98%
Game ELO: 1894
-> 1920 (+26)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 51.93%
Game ELO: 1953
-> 2006 (+53)
Spain win: expected
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona Luis Suárez
Italy 1990 17-Jun-1990 1 Group E
Prob to win: 25.94%
Game ELO: 1758
-> 1663 (-95)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 66.28%
Game ELO: 1921
-> 1953 (+32)
Spain win: expected
Stadio Friuli, Udine Luis Suárez
Italy 1990 13-Jun-1990 1 Group E
Prob to win: 39.74%
Game ELO: 1892
-> 1894 (+2)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 48.33%
Game ELO: 1926
-> 1921 (-5)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
Stadio Friuli, Udine Luis Suárez
Euro 1988 17-Jun-1988 20:15 1 Group A
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0
-> 0 (+0)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0
-> 0 (+0)
Spain loss: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich
Euro 1988 14-Jun-1988 20:15 1 Group A
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0
-> 0 (+0)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0
-> 0 (+0)
Spain loss: expected
Waldstadion, Frankfurt
Euro 1988 11-Jun-1988 15:30 1 Group A
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0
-> 0 (+0)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0
-> 0 (+0)
Spain win: upset (loss expected)
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover
Mexico 1986 22-Jun-1986 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 15.10%
Game ELO: 1894
-> 1976 (+82)
1 - 1 (aet)
5 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 84.90%
Game ELO: 2194
-> 2109 (-85)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Puebla Miguel Muñoz
Mexico 1986 18-Jun-1986 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 74.58%
Game ELO: 2120
-> 1859 (-261)
1 - 5
Prob to win: 25.42%
Game ELO: 1933
-> 2194 (+261)
Spain win: upset (loss expected)
Querétaro Miguel Muñoz
Mexico 1986 12-Jun-1986 1 Group D
Prob to win: 94.08%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1933 (-224)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 4.56%
Game ELO: 1631
-> 1596 (-35)
Spain win: expected
Estadio Tecnológico, Monterrey Miguel Muñoz
Mexico 1986 7-Jun-1986 1 Group D
Prob to win: 84.18%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1898 (-259)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 12.17%
Game ELO: 1821
-> 1775 (-46)
Spain win: expected
Estadio Tres de Marzo, Guadalajara Miguel Muñoz
Mexico 1986 1-Jun-1986 1 Group D
Prob to win: 56.50%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 1961 (-30)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 33.46%
Game ELO: 1900
-> 1852 (-48)
Spain loss: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Miguel Muñoz
Euro 1984 27-Jun-1984 20:00 2 Final
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063
-> 1312 (-751)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1074 (+1074)
Spain loss: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris
Euro 1984 24-Jun-1984 20:00 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1072 (+1072)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1118 (+1118)
Spain win: expected
Stade de Gerland, Lyon
Euro 1984 20-Jun-1984 20:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 993 (-57)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1057 (+57)
Spain win: upset (loss expected)
Parc des Princes, Paris
Euro 1984 17-Jun-1984 20:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 99.56%
Game ELO: 1989
-> 1000 (-989)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 0.34%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1000 (+0)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Euro 1984 14-Jun-1984 20:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1000 (+1000)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1000 (+1000)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Spain 1982 5-Jul-1982 2 Group B
Prob to win: 55.36%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1850 (-307)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 34.33%
Game ELO: 2074
-> 2043 (-31)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid José Santamaría
Spain 1982 2-Jul-1982 2 Group B
Prob to win: 76.23%
Game ELO: 2086
-> 2105 (+19)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 18.29%
Game ELO: 1838
-> 1819 (-19)
Spain loss: expected
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid José Santamaría
Spain 1982 25-Jun-1982 1 Group 5
Prob to win: 89.24%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1838 (-319)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 8.28%
Game ELO: 1744
-> 1816 (+72)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Luis Casanova, Valencia José Santamaría
Spain 1982 20-Jun-1982 1 Group 5
Prob to win: 77.86%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1910 (-247)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 17.03%
Game ELO: 1893
-> 1837 (-56)
Spain win: expected
Estadio Luis Casanova, Valencia José Santamaría
Spain 1982 16-Jun-1982 1 Group 5
Prob to win: 95.00%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1854 (-303)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 3.85%
Game ELO: 1600
-> 1634 (+34)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Luís Casanova, Valencia José Santamaría
Euro 1980 18-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 99.88%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 900 (-1257)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 0.10%
Game ELO: 950
-> 1000 (+50)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Stadio San Paolo, Naples
Euro 1980 15-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 99.25%
Game ELO: 1894
-> 1050 (-844)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 0.58%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 950 (-50)
Spain loss: expected
San Siro, Milan
Euro 1980 12-Jun-1980 20:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1000 (-1157)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1000 (+1000)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
San Siro, Milan
Argentina 1978 11-Jun-1978 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 86.48%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1948 (-209)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 10.40%
Game ELO: 1789
-> 1756 (-33)
Spain win: expected
Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires Ladislao Kubala
Argentina 1978 7-Jun-1978 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 57.21%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 2024 (+33)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 32.92%
Game ELO: 1895
-> 1915 (+20)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio José Maria Minella, Mar del Plata Ladislao Kubala
Argentina 1978 3-Jun-1978 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 29.40%
Game ELO: 1830
-> 1924 (+94)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 61.78%
Game ELO: 1959
-> 1895 (-64)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires Ladislao Kubala
England 1966 20-Jul-1966 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 61.92%
Game ELO: 2000
-> 2032 (+32)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 29.30%
Game ELO: 1870
-> 1838 (-32)
Spain loss: expected
Villa Park, Birmingham José Villalonga
England 1966 15-Jul-1966 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 95.26%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1870 (-287)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 3.64%
Game ELO: 1590
-> 1572 (-18)
Spain win: expected
Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield José Villalonga
England 1966 13-Jul-1966 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 73.64%
Game ELO: 2115
-> 2011 (-104)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 20.28%
Game ELO: 1891
-> 1852 (-39)
Spain loss: expected
Villa Park, Birmingham José Villalonga
Euro 1964 21-Jun-1964 18:30 1 Final
Prob to win: 99.77%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1107 (-1050)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 0.23%
Game ELO: 1100
-> 1043 (-57)
Spain win: expected
Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Euro 1964 17-Jun-1964 20:00 1 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1050 (-1107)
2 - 1 (aet)
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 950 (+950)
Spain win: expected
Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Chile 1962 6-Jun-1962 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 50.06%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 2139 (+148)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 38.41%
Game ELO: 1945
-> 1917 (-28)
Spain loss: expected
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar  Helenio Herrera
Chile 1962 3-Jun-1962 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 86.68%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1945 (-212)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 10.24%
Game ELO: 1786
-> 1754 (-32)
Spain win: expected
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar  Helenio Herrera
Chile 1962 31-May-1962 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 45.47%
Game ELO: 1975
-> 2023 (+48)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 41.95%
Game ELO: 1961
-> 1913 (-48)
Spain loss: expected
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar  Helenio Herrera
Brazil 1950 16-Jul-1950 2 Group A
Prob to win: 23.24%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1906 (+194)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 69.79%
Game ELO: 1903
-> 1809 (-94)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo Guillermo Eizaguirre
Brazil 1950 13-Jul-1950 2 Group A
Prob to win: 46.61%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 2287 (+296)
6 - 1
Prob to win: 41.07%
Game ELO: 1969
-> 1903 (-66)
Spain loss: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Guillermo Eizaguirre
Brazil 1950 9-Jul-1950 2 Group A
Prob to win: 32.16%
Game ELO: 1892
-> 1817 (-75)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 58.19%
Game ELO: 1995
-> 1969 (-26)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo Guillermo Eizaguirre
Brazil 1950 2-Jul-1950 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 66.80%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1995 (-162)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 25.54%
Game ELO: 1990
-> 1933 (-57)
Spain win: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Guillermo Eizaguirre
Brazil 1950 29-Jun-1950 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 95.26%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1938 (-219)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 3.64%
Game ELO: 1590
-> 1570 (-20)
Spain win: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Guillermo Eizaguirre
Brazil 1950 25-Jun-1950 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 95.52%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1918 (-239)
3 - 1
USA
Prob to win: 3.45%
Game ELO: 1580
-> 1559 (-21)
Spain win: expected
Estádio Durival de Britto, Curitiba Guillermo Eizaguirre
Italy 1934 1-Jun-1934 1 Quarter Finals Replay
Prob to win: 48.62%
Game ELO: 2054
-> 2099 (+45)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 39.52%
Game ELO: 2018
-> 1973 (-45)
Spain loss: expected
Florence Amadeo García
Italy 1934 31-May-1934 1 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 2061
-> 2054 (-7)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 2011
-> 2018 (+7)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
Florence Amadeo García
Italy 1934 27-May-1934 1 Top 16
Prob to win: 77.81%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2011 (-146)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 22.19%
Game ELO: 1939
-> 1863 (-76)
Spain win: expected
Genoa Amadeo García