Netherlands details

Netherlands

Statistics:
  • Games: 97
  • Expected results: 48 (50.53%)
  • Unexpected results: 47 (49.47%)
  • Unknown games: 2
  • Record: 50 Won, 29 Lost, 16 Drawn, 2 Unknown
  • Last five games: WDLWW
  • Expected wins: 36 (37.89%)
  • Expected losses: 12 (12.63%)
  • Unexpected wins: 14 (14.74%)
  • Unexpected losses: 17 (17.89%)
  • Unexpected draws: 16 (16.84%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 78
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -63
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 16
  • Total: 31

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 29-Jun-2026 19:00 2 Top 32
Pregame ELO: 1907
Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 25-Jun-2026 18:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 2.99%
Pregame ELO: 1466
Prob to win: 96.12%
Pregame ELO: 2069
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 20-Jun-2026 12:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 57.35%
Game ELO: 1942
-> 2069 (+127)
5 - 1
Prob to win: 32.81%
Game ELO: 1845
-> 1718 (-127)
Netherlands win: expected
NRG Stadium, Houston
Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 14-Jun-2026 15:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 49.49%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1942 (-6)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 38.86%
Game ELO: 1906
-> 1912 (+6)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
AT&T Stadium, Arlington
Euro 2024 10-Jul-2024 21:00 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 39.65%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1974 (+26)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 60.35%
Game ELO: 2021
-> 2072 (+51)
Netherlands loss: expected
BVB Stadion Dortmund, Dortmund
Euro 2024 6-Jul-2024 18:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 59.94%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2025 (+77)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 40.06%
Game ELO: 1878
-> 1844 (-34)
Netherlands win: expected
Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf
Euro 2024 2-Jul-2024 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 23.50%
Game ELO: 1739
-> 1692 (-47)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 76.50%
Game ELO: 1944
-> 1991 (+47)
Netherlands win: expected
Fußball Arena München, Munich
Euro 2024 25-Jun-2024 18:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 51.64%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1944 (-4)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 37.20%
Game ELO: 1891
-> 1957 (+66)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Olympiastadion, Berlin
Euro 2024 21-Jun-2024 21:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 27.04%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2010 (+62)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 64.85%
Game ELO: 2100
-> 2085 (-15)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
Leipzig Stadium, Leipzig
Euro 2024 16-Jun-2024 15:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 19.94%
Game ELO: 1746
-> 1725 (-21)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 74.08%
Game ELO: 1974
-> 1995 (+21)
Netherlands win: expected
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Qatar 2022 9-Dec-2022 22:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 26.19%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2039 (+91)
2 - 2 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 73.81%
Game ELO: 2128
-> 2172 (+44)
Netherlands loss: expected
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Qatar 2022 3-Dec-2022 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 61.04%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2083 (+135)
3 - 1
USA
Prob to win: 38.96%
Game ELO: 1870
-> 1830 (-40)
Netherlands win: expected
Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 29-Nov-2022 18:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 87.27%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2043 (+95)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 9.79%
Game ELO: 1568
-> 1558 (-10)
Netherlands win: expected
Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Qatar 2022 25-Nov-2022 19:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 53.65%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2033 (+85)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 35.65%
Game ELO: 1877
-> 1901 (+24)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 21-Nov-2022 13:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 24.28%
Game ELO: 1860
-> 1670 (-190)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 68.43%
Game ELO: 2040
-> 2057 (+17)
Netherlands win: expected
Al Thumama Stadium, Doha
Euro 2020 27-Jun-2021 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 73.81%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1911 (-37)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 26.19%
Game ELO: 1768
-> 1910 (+142)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Puskás Aréna, Budapest
Euro 2020 21-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 5.74%
Game ELO: 1536
-> 1524 (-12)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 92.54%
Game ELO: 2019
-> 2031 (+12)
Netherlands win: expected
Johan Cruyff Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2020 17-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 65.25%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2019 (+71)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 26.73%
Game ELO: 1793
-> 1755 (-38)
Netherlands win: expected
Johan Cruyff Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2020 13-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 62.46%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1981 (+33)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 28.88%
Game ELO: 1814
-> 1783 (-31)
Netherlands win: expected
Johan Cruyff Arena, Amsterdam
Brazil 2014 12-Jul-2014 2 3rd Place
Prob to win: 16.00%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 1986 (-5)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 84.00%
Game ELO: 2279
-> 2316 (+37)
Netherlands win: expected
Brazil 2014 9-Jul-2014 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 26.41%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2279 (+331)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 73.59%
Game ELO: 2126
-> 2093 (-33)
Netherlands loss: expected
Brazil 2014 4-Jul-2014 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 53.88%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2246 (+298)
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 3 (pen)
Prob to win: 46.12%
Game ELO: 1921
-> 1907 (-14)
Netherlands win: expected
Brazil 2014 29-Jun-2014 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 49.71%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2232 (+284)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 50.29%
Game ELO: 1950
-> 1932 (-18)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Brazil 2014 23-Jun-2014 1 Group B
Prob to win: 37.09%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2214 (+266)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 51.79%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 1965 (-41)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Sao Paulo
Brazil 2014 18-Jun-2014 1 Group B
Prob to win: 9.31%
Game ELO: 1777
-> 1670 (-107)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 87.90%
Game ELO: 2167
-> 2173 (+6)
Netherlands win: expected
Porto Alegre
Brazil 2014 13-Jun-2014 1 Group B
Prob to win: 77.56%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 1838 (-319)
1 - 5
Prob to win: 17.26%
Game ELO: 1896
-> 2167 (+271)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Salvador
Euro 2012 17-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 99.73%
Game ELO: 1989
-> 1050 (-939)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 0.20%
Game ELO: 914
-> 878 (-36)
Netherlands loss: expected
Metalist Stadium, Kharkiv
Euro 2012 13-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 99.27%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 914 (-1034)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 0.56%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1086 (+36)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Metalist Stadium, Kharkiv
Euro 2012 9-Jun-2012 19:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 950 (-998)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1050 (+1050)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Metalist Stadium, Kharkiv
Euro 2008 21-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1102 (-846)
1 - 3 (aet)
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1153 (+1153)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Euro 2008 17-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 99.49%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1210 (-738)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 0.39%
Game ELO: 986
-> 948 (-38)
Netherlands win: expected
Stade de Suisse, Bern
Euro 2008 13-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 99.45%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1172 (-776)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 0.42%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 928 (-72)
Netherlands win: expected
Stade de Suisse, Bern
Euro 2008 9-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1100 (-848)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 900 (+900)
Netherlands win: expected
Stade de Suisse, Bern
Germany 2006 25-Jun-2006 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 43.14%
Game ELO: 1989
-> 2057 (+68)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 56.86%
Game ELO: 2037
-> 1982 (-55)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Stuttgart Marco van Basten
Germany 2006 21-Jun-2006 1 Group C
Prob to win: 32.81%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2037 (+89)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 57.35%
Game ELO: 2045
-> 2044 (-1)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
Marco van Basten
Germany 2006 16-Jun-2006 1 Group C
Prob to win: 71.92%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2036 (+88)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 21.60%
Game ELO: 1739
-> 1722 (-17)
Netherlands win: expected
Marco van Basten
Germany 2006 11-Jun-2006 1 Group C
Prob to win: 22.78%
Game ELO: 1799
-> 1775 (-24)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 70.39%
Game ELO: 1995
-> 2019 (+24)
Netherlands win: expected
Marco van Basten
Euro 2004 30-Jun-2004 19:45 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1989
-> 1183 (-806)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1071 (+1071)
Netherlands loss: expected
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Euro 2004 26-Jun-2004 19:45 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 99.99%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1075 (-637)
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Prob to win: 0.01%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1118 (+1118)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Estádio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Euro 2004 23-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 99.57%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1057 (-891)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 0.33%
Game ELO: 957
-> 857 (-100)
Netherlands win: expected
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Euro 2004 19-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 99.27%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 957 (-991)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 0.56%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1093 (+43)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, Aveiro
Euro 2004 15-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1932
-> 1000 (-932)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1000 (+1000)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
Estádio do Dragão, Porto
Euro 2000 29-Jun-2000 18:00 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1287 (+1287)
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 1 (pen)
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1173 (+1173)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Amsterdam Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2000 25-Jun-2000 18:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1261 (-687)
6 - 1
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 901 (+901)
Netherlands win: expected
Feijenoord Stadion, Rotterdam
Euro 2000 21-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 99.47%
Game ELO: 2063
-> 1077 (-986)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 0.41%
Game ELO: 1109
-> 1162 (+53)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Amsterdam Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2000 16-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 27.24%
Game ELO: 900
-> 841 (-59)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 64.59%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1109 (+59)
Netherlands win: expected
Feijenoord Stadion, Rotterdam
Euro 2000 11-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1050 (-898)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 950 (+950)
Netherlands win: expected
Amsterdam Arena, Amsterdam
France 1998 11-Jul-1998 2 3rd Place
Prob to win: 31.62%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2011 (+63)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 68.38%
Game ELO: 2082
-> 2129 (+47)
Netherlands loss: expected
Paris Guus Hiddink
France 1998 7-Jul-1998 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 33.26%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 2140 (+149)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Prob to win: 66.74%
Game ELO: 2112
-> 2058 (-54)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Marseille Guus Hiddink
France 1998 4-Jul-1998 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 30.75%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2112 (+164)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 69.25%
Game ELO: 2089
-> 2034 (-55)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Marseille Guus Hiddink
France 1998 27-Jun-1998 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2057 (+109)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 1998
-> 1950 (-48)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Marseille Guus Hiddink
France 1998 25-Jun-1998 1 Group E
Prob to win: 49.63%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2009 (+61)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 38.75%
Game ELO: 1905
-> 1922 (+17)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne Guus Hiddink
France 1998 20-Jun-1998 1 Group E
Prob to win: 79.12%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2026 (+78)
5 - 0
Prob to win: 16.06%
Game ELO: 1671
-> 1619 (-52)
Netherlands win: expected
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille Guus Hiddink
France 1998 13-Jun-1998 1 Group E
Prob to win: 60.96%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1974 (+26)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 30.03%
Game ELO: 1825
-> 1848 (+23)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Stade de France, Saint-Denis Guus Hiddink
Euro 1996 22-Jun-1996 18:30 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063
-> 1149 (-914)
0 - 0 (aet)
5 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 944 (+944)
Netherlands loss: expected
Anfield, Liverpool
Euro 1996 18-Jun-1996 19:30 1 Group A
Prob to win: 99.15%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 975 (-973)
1 - 4
Prob to win: 0.65%
Game ELO: 1075
-> 1175 (+100)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 13-Jun-1996 19:30 1 Group A
Prob to win: 99.24%
Game ELO: 1891
-> 925 (-966)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 0.59%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1075 (+75)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Villa Park, Birmingham
Euro 1996 10-Jun-1996 16:30 1 Group A
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1000 (-948)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1000 (+1000)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Villa Park, Birmingham
USA 1994 9-Jul-1994 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 47.84%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 2089 (+98)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 52.16%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 1961 (-45)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Dallas Dick Advocaat
USA 1994 4-Jul-1994 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 60.49%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2006 (+58)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 39.51%
Game ELO: 1874
-> 1814 (-60)
Netherlands win: expected
Orlando Dick Advocaat
USA 1994 29-Jun-1994 1 Group F
Prob to win: 31.73%
Game ELO: 1827
-> 1578 (-249)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 58.75%
Game ELO: 1934
-> 1946 (+12)
Netherlands win: expected
Citrus Bowl, Orlando Dick Advocaat
USA 1994 25-Jun-1994 1 Group F
Prob to win: 31.41%
Game ELO: 1894
-> 1923 (+29)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 59.17%
Game ELO: 2004
-> 1934 (-70)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Citrus Bowl, Orlando Dick Advocaat
USA 1994 20-Jun-1994 1 Group F
Prob to win: 82.00%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2004 (+56)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 13.85%
Game ELO: 1639
-> 1627 (-12)
Netherlands win: expected
RFK Stadium, Washington Dick Advocaat
Euro 1992 22-Jun-1992 20:15 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1057 (-891)
2 - 2 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1073 (+1073)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Euro 1992 18-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group B
Prob to win: 99.20%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1123 (-825)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 0.61%
Game ELO: 1064
-> 984 (-80)
Netherlands win: expected
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Euro 1992 15-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group B
Prob to win: 99.45%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1043 (-905)
0 - 0
CIS
Prob to win: 0.42%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1007 (+7)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Euro 1992 12-Jun-1992 17:15 1 Group B
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1050 (-898)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 950 (+950)
Netherlands win: expected
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Italy 1990 24-Jun-1990 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 60.22%
Game ELO: 2040
-> 2080 (+40)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 39.78%
Game ELO: 1968
-> 1928 (-40)
Netherlands loss: expected
Milan Leo Beenhakker
Italy 1990 21-Jun-1990 1 Group F
Prob to win: 31.09%
Game ELO: 1871
-> 1887 (+16)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 59.58%
Game ELO: 1984
-> 1968 (-16)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Stadio La Favorita, Palermo Leo Beenhakker
Italy 1990 16-Jun-1990 1 Group F
Prob to win: 48.05%
Game ELO: 2024
-> 1944 (-80)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 39.96%
Game ELO: 1992
-> 1984 (-8)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
Stadio Sant'Elia, Cagliari Leo Beenhakker
Italy 1990 12-Jun-1990 1 Group F
Prob to win: 81.74%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1992 (+44)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 14.04%
Game ELO: 1642
-> 1682 (+40)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Stadio La Favorita, Palermo Leo Beenhakker
Euro 1988 25-Jun-1988 15:30 2 Final
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 0 (+0)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 0 (+0)
Netherlands win: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich
Euro 1988 21-Jun-1988 20:15 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 0 (+0)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 0 (+0)
Netherlands win: expected
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Euro 1988 18-Jun-1988 15:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0
-> 0 (+0)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0
-> 0 (+0)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen
Euro 1988 15-Jun-1988 17:15 1 Group B
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2024
-> 0 (-2024)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 0 (+0)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf
Euro 1988 12-Jun-1988 20:15 1 Group B
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 0 (-1948)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 0 (+0)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Müngersdorfer Stadion, Cologne
Euro 1980 17-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group A
Prob to win: 99.36%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1004 (-944)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 0.49%
Game ELO: 1025
-> 1021 (-4)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
San Siro, Milan
Euro 1980 14-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group A
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1100 (+50)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1000 (-50)
Netherlands loss: expected
Stadio San Paolo, Naples
Euro 1980 11-Jun-1980 20:30 1 Group A
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1050 (-898)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 950 (+950)
Netherlands win: expected
Stadio San Paolo, Naples
Argentina 1978 25-Jun-1978 3 Final
Prob to win: 25.42%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2090 (+142)
1 - 3 (aet)
Prob to win: 74.58%
Game ELO: 2135
-> 2218 (+83)
Netherlands loss: expected
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 21-Jun-1978 2 Group A
Prob to win: 39.52%
Game ELO: 2092
-> 2047 (-45)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 48.62%
Game ELO: 2128
-> 2173 (+45)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 18-Jun-1978 2 Group A
Prob to win: 30.03%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2128 (+180)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 60.96%
Game ELO: 2071
-> 2081 (+10)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 14-Jun-1978 2 Group A
Prob to win: 24.67%
Game ELO: 1830
-> 1787 (-43)
1 - 5
Prob to win: 67.93%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 2138 (+132)
Netherlands win: expected
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 11-Jun-1978 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 14.04%
Game ELO: 1782
-> 1901 (+119)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 81.74%
Game ELO: 2088
-> 2006 (-82)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 7-Jun-1978 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 55.08%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2088 (+140)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 34.55%
Game ELO: 1867
-> 1898 (+31)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 3-Jun-1978 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 68.06%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2119 (+171)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 24.57%
Game ELO: 1771
-> 1744 (-27)
Netherlands win: expected
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Ernst Happel
Euro 1976 19-Jun-1976 20:15 1 3rd Place
Prob to win: 99.72%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 975 (-973)
3 - 2 (aet)
Prob to win: 0.28%
Game ELO: 925
-> 875 (-50)
Netherlands win: expected
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Euro 1976 16-Jun-1976 20:15 1 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 1075 (+1075)
3 - 1 (aet)
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0
-> 925 (+925)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
West Germany 1974 7-Jul-1974 3 Final
Prob to win: 18.64%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2175 (+227)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 81.36%
Game ELO: 2204
-> 2257 (+53)
Netherlands loss: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 3-Jul-1974 2 Group A
Prob to win: 23.81%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2228 (+280)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 69.05%
Game ELO: 2133
-> 2064 (-69)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group A
Prob to win: 28.78%
Game ELO: 1977
-> 1930 (-47)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 62.59%
Game ELO: 2112
-> 2159 (+47)
Netherlands win: expected
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group A
Prob to win: 49.77%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 2112 (+164)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 38.64%
Game ELO: 1904
-> 1762 (-142)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 23-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 63.00%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1970 (+22)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 28.46%
Game ELO: 1810
-> 1733 (-77)
Netherlands win: expected
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 19-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 54.08%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1893 (-55)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 35.32%
Game ELO: 1874
-> 1877 (+3)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 15-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 51.07%
Game ELO: 1892
-> 1698 (-194)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 37.64%
Game ELO: 1839
-> 1896 (+57)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover Rinus Michels
France 1938 5-Jun-1938 1 Top 16
Prob to win: 63.07%
Game ELO: 1802
-> 1876 (+74)
3 - 0 (aet)
Prob to win: 36.93%
Game ELO: 1709
-> 1635 (-74)
Netherlands loss: expected
Le Havre  Bob Glendenning
Italy 1934 27-May-1934 1 Top 16
Prob to win: 87.31%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1639 (-309)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 12.69%
Game ELO: 1613
-> 1675 (+62)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Milan  Bob Glendenning